Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-08-12, Vernon Downs were:
Ghost (19, 4.5 shows)
My Soul (16, 12.7 shows)
Funky Bitch (16, 7 shows)
Tweezer (15, 4.8 shows)
Stash (14, 5.8 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (14, 4.8 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (14, 23.2 shows)
Character Zero (14, 4.4 shows)
Loving Cup (14, 7.7 shows)
Mike's Song (14, 4.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (13, 7.1 shows)
Simple (13, 6.9 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (13, 7.1 shows)
Taste (12, 10.4 shows)
Train Song (12, 22.7 shows)
Water in the Sky (11, 13.1 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (11, 4.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5.6 shows)
Ya Mar (10, 11.1 shows)
Jam (10, 30.7 shows)
Rocky Top (10, 20.7 shows)
Tube (9, 5.9 shows)
Scent of a Mule (8, 19.1 shows)
Izabella (8, 50.2 shows)
Dirt (8, 15.1 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 8.7 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 9.9 shows)
Black-Eyed Katy (7, 136.1 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 8.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.5 shows)
Cities (7, 11.1 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (6, 26.5 shows)
McGrupp and the Watchful Hosemasters (6, 32.9 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (6, 20.3 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (6, 18.3 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 14 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 53% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.