Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-08-15, Loring Commerce Centre were:
Ghost (18, 4.5 shows)
Harry Hood (17, 4.1 shows)
My Soul (16, 12.7 shows)
Guyute (16, 9.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (15, 5.2 shows)
Piper (15, 4.8 shows)
Tweezer (15, 4.8 shows)
Stash (13, 5.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (13, 7 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (13, 23.8 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (12, 7.2 shows)
NICU (12, 8.5 shows)
Taste (11, 10.5 shows)
Train Song (11, 23.2 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (11, 4.8 shows)
Water in the Sky (10, 13.2 shows)
Ya Mar (9, 11.2 shows)
Tube (9, 5.9 shows)
Rocky Top (9, 21.1 shows)
Jam (9, 31.7 shows)
Dirt (8, 15.1 shows)
Scent of a Mule (8, 19 shows)
Cavern (8, 6 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 9.9 shows)
Izabella (7, 52.8 shows)
Cities (7, 11.1 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 8.3 shows)
Black-Eyed Katy (7, 135.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.5 shows)
Bold As Love (6, 28.8 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (6, 23.8 shows)
Drowned (6, 21.6 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 8.7 shows)
Axilla (6, 11.6 shows)
Dogs Stole Things (5, 38 shows)
The Wedge (5, 8.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 32% of the actual 31-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.