Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-08-11, Star Lake Amphitheatre were:
Down with Disease (16, 4.1 shows)
My Soul (16, 12.7 shows)
Tweezer (15, 4.8 shows)
Character Zero (14, 4.4 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (14, 23.2 shows)
Loving Cup (14, 7.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (13, 7.1 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (13, 7.1 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (12, 4.5 shows)
Taste (12, 10.4 shows)
Train Song (12, 22.7 shows)
Julius (11, 7.4 shows)
Sample in a Jar (11, 6.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (11, 4.8 shows)
Ya Mar (10, 11.1 shows)
Jam (10, 30.7 shows)
Rocky Top (10, 20.7 shows)
Maze (10, 6.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5.6 shows)
Tube (9, 5.9 shows)
When the Circus Comes (9, 14.4 shows)
Izabella (8, 50.2 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (8, 25.8 shows)
Dirt (8, 15.1 shows)
Scent of a Mule (8, 19.1 shows)
Reba (7, 7.7 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 8.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 7.7 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 9.9 shows)
Wilson (7, 6.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 8.4 shows)
Black-Eyed Katy (7, 136.1 shows)
Cities (7, 11.1 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (6, 18.3 shows)
Gumbo (6, 11.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 56% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.