Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-06-30, The Grey Hall were:
Dirt (16, 13.4 shows)
Stash (15, 5.7 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (15, 3.8 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (13, 9.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (13, 4.5 shows)
Water in the Sky (12, 12 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (11, 22.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (11, 5.6 shows)
Simple (11, 6.9 shows)
Rocky Top (11, 19.5 shows)
Julius (11, 7.3 shows)
NICU (10, 8.5 shows)
When the Circus Comes (9, 13.9 shows)
Sample in a Jar (9, 6.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (9, 7.7 shows)
Guyute (9, 9.8 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (8, 15 shows)
Twist (8, 5.3 shows)
Vultures (7, 21.2 shows)
Free (7, 5.4 shows)
Black-Eyed Katy (7, 139.4 shows)
Frankenstein (7, 19.1 shows)
Izabella (7, 48.8 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (6, 139.4 shows)
Gumbo (6, 11.9 shows)
Scent of a Mule (6, 18.8 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 13.7 shows)
The Squirming Coil (6, 9.7 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (5, 12.8 shows)
Horn (5, 12.5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 7.7 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 9.4 shows)
Llama (5, 16 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (5, 18.1 shows)
Fire (5, 39 shows)
Saw It Again (4, 21.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 15% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.