Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-04-05, Providence Civic Center were:
Theme from the Bottom (23, 6.7 shows)
Dirt (20, 12.8 shows)
Water in the Sky (16, 11.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (16, 6.9 shows)
Down with Disease (15, 4.2 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (15, 5.4 shows)
Maze (12, 6.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (12, 5.7 shows)
Julius (12, 7.4 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (12, 21.9 shows)
Runaway Jim (12, 7.7 shows)
Jam (11, 28.2 shows)
Sample in a Jar (11, 6.4 shows)
When the Circus Comes (11, 13.7 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (10, 9.1 shows)
Vultures (10, 20.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5 shows)
Ya Mar (10, 10.8 shows)
Cavern (9, 6 shows)
Free (9, 5.4 shows)
Poor Heart (9, 13.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.4 shows)
Cities (8, 10.8 shows)
Sparkle (8, 12.3 shows)
Izabella (8, 47 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (8, 15.2 shows)
The Squirming Coil (7, 9.7 shows)
Saw It Again (7, 20.6 shows)
Black-Eyed Katy (7, 141 shows)
Frankenstein (7, 19.4 shows)
Possum (7, 4.5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (6, 7.7 shows)
Hello My Baby (6, 47 shows)
Scent of a Mule (6, 19 shows)
Olivia's Pool (6, 98.7 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (6, 17.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 76% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.