Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-07-01, The Grey Hall were:
My Soul (18, 11.9 shows)
Dirt (15, 13.5 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (15, 3.8 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (13, 9.4 shows)
Loving Cup (13, 7.7 shows)
Dogs Stole Things (12, 29.5 shows)
Piper (12, 4.8 shows)
Simple (11, 6.9 shows)
Julius (11, 7.3 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (11, 22.2 shows)
Rocky Top (11, 19.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5.7 shows)
NICU (10, 8.5 shows)
Sample in a Jar (9, 6.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (9, 7.7 shows)
Billy Breathes (8, 26.4 shows)
Twist (8, 5.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 4.9 shows)
When the Circus Comes (8, 14.1 shows)
Free (7, 5.4 shows)
Izabella (7, 48.8 shows)
Black-Eyed Katy (7, 139.3 shows)
Vultures (7, 21.2 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (7, 15.2 shows)
Frankenstein (7, 19.1 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 13.7 shows)
Gumbo (6, 11.9 shows)
The Squirming Coil (6, 9.7 shows)
Scent of a Mule (6, 18.8 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (6, 139.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 9.4 shows)
The Old Home Place (5, 36.1 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (5, 12.8 shows)
Fire (5, 39 shows)
Llama (5, 16 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 7.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 40% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.