Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-08-16, Plattsburgh Air Force Base were:
Free (28, 5 shows)
Cavern (25, 5.7 shows)
A Day in the Life (24, 16.1 shows)
Harry Hood (23, 4 shows)
Scent of a Mule (23, 13 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (23, 6.3 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (18, 5.1 shows)
I'm Blue, I'm Lonesome (18, 53.8 shows)
Rift (17, 8.4 shows)
The Squirming Coil (15, 9.2 shows)
Acoustic Army (15, 75.3 shows)
Keyboard Army (14, 80.7 shows)
Uncle Pen (14, 28.3 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (14, 80.7 shows)
Billy Breathes (13, 17.1 shows)
Amazing Grace (12, 66.5 shows)
Fire (12, 26.9 shows)
Life on Mars? (11, 49.1 shows)
Funky Bitch (11, 7 shows)
The Curtain (11, 34.2 shows)
Suspicious Minds (11, 86.9 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 5.2 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (10, 11.2 shows)
I Didn't Know (9, 19.5 shows)
Guyute (9, 9.7 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (9, 16.4 shows)
Horn (9, 12.6 shows)
Foam (9, 19.5 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 4.7 shows)
NICU (8, 8.4 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 15.9 shows)
Big Black Furry Creature from Mars (8, 33.2 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 9.1 shows)
The Fog That Surrounds (8, 141.3 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (7, 15.3 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (7, 23.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 30% of the actual 30-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.