Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-08-14, Hersheypark Stadium were:
Stash (27, 5.2 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (27, 5 shows)
Runaway Jim (26, 6.6 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (23, 12.7 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (23, 6 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (23, 6.3 shows)
Julius (20, 6.7 shows)
Tweezer (19, 4.9 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (18, 5.1 shows)
I'm Blue, I'm Lonesome (18, 53.8 shows)
The Squirming Coil (15, 9.2 shows)
Acoustic Army (15, 75.3 shows)
Keyboard Army (14, 80.7 shows)
Uncle Pen (14, 28.3 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (14, 80.7 shows)
Billy Breathes (13, 17.1 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 5.1 shows)
Amazing Grace (12, 66.5 shows)
The Curtain (11, 34.2 shows)
Funky Bitch (11, 7 shows)
Life on Mars? (11, 49.1 shows)
Suspicious Minds (11, 86.9 shows)
Horn (9, 12.6 shows)
Foam (9, 19.5 shows)
Guyute (9, 9.7 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (9, 16.4 shows)
Gumbo (9, 11.5 shows)
Big Black Furry Creature from Mars (8, 33.2 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 15.9 shows)
The Fog That Surrounds (8, 141.3 shows)
NICU (8, 8.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 4.7 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (7, 23.5 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (7, 15.3 shows)
Kung (7, 47.1 shows)
While My Guitar Gently Weeps (7, 37.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 41% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.