Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-08-17, Plattsburgh Air Force Base were:
Run Like an Antelope (26, 4.5 shows)
Cavern (25, 5.7 shows)
A Day in the Life (24, 16.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (23, 6.3 shows)
Scent of a Mule (23, 13 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (21, 7.1 shows)
It's Ice (20, 13 shows)
Possum (18, 4.7 shows)
I'm Blue, I'm Lonesome (18, 53.8 shows)
Rift (17, 8.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (17, 6.3 shows)
Acoustic Army (15, 75.3 shows)
Uncle Pen (14, 28.3 shows)
Keyboard Army (14, 80.7 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (14, 80.7 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (13, 13.1 shows)
Billy Breathes (13, 17.1 shows)
Fire (12, 26.9 shows)
The Curtain (11, 34.2 shows)
Suspicious Minds (11, 86.9 shows)
Funky Bitch (11, 7 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (10, 11.2 shows)
Horn (9, 12.6 shows)
Foam (9, 19.5 shows)
Guyute (9, 9.7 shows)
I Didn't Know (9, 19.5 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (9, 8.4 shows)
Dog Faced Boy (8, 39 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 9.1 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 15.9 shows)
Big Black Furry Creature from Mars (8, 33.2 shows)
The Fog That Surrounds (8, 141.3 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 4.7 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (7, 15.3 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (7, 23.5 shows)
While My Guitar Gently Weeps (7, 37.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 38% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.