Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1993-07-23, Jones Beach Amphitheater were:
Weekapaug Groove (48, 4.8 shows)
Amazing Grace (46, 13 shows)
David Bowie (46, 4.6 shows)
Mike's Song (46, 4.6 shows)
Sweet Adeline (41, 13 shows)
Reba (39, 5.8 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (38, 11.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (36, 8.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (35, 5 shows)
I Didn't Know (34, 12.2 shows)
Silent in the Morning (33, 8.5 shows)
The Horse (32, 9.4 shows)
My Sweet One (29, 16.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (29, 5.9 shows)
The Lizards (28, 9.7 shows)
Love You (23, 37.3 shows)
The Landlady (23, 30.8 shows)
Fly Famous Mockingbird (20, 28.3 shows)
Axilla (20, 12.5 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (19, 12.1 shows)
Lengthwise (19, 44.3 shows)
Fluffhead (19, 8.5 shows)
Wilson (18, 6.6 shows)
Carolina (17, 42.9 shows)
Harry Hood (17, 4.3 shows)
Colonel Forbin's Ascent (17, 28.3 shows)
Terrapin (16, 59 shows)
The Curtain (16, 20.2 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (15, 8.9 shows)
The Sloth (13, 19.4 shows)
Weigh (12, 37.3 shows)
Cracklin' Rosie (12, 48.9 shows)
Fire (11, 21.8 shows)
The Oh Kee Pa Ceremony (10, 29.5 shows)
I Walk the Line (10, 141.7 shows)
Big Black Furry Creature from Mars (10, 22.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 24% of the actual 25-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.