Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1993-07-22, Stowe Performing Arts Center were:
Llama (64, 7.7 shows)
Sweet Adeline (41, 13 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (38, 11.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (36, 8.7 shows)
I Didn't Know (34, 12.2 shows)
Possum (31, 4.7 shows)
My Sweet One (29, 16.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (29, 5.9 shows)
The Lizards (28, 9.7 shows)
Love You (23, 37.3 shows)
Horn (20, 11 shows)
Fly Famous Mockingbird (20, 28.3 shows)
Axilla (20, 12.5 shows)
Paul and Silas (19, 37.3 shows)
Lengthwise (19, 44.3 shows)
Fluffhead (19, 8.5 shows)
Wilson (18, 6.6 shows)
Carolina (17, 42.9 shows)
Colonel Forbin's Ascent (17, 28.3 shows)
Harry Hood (17, 4.3 shows)
The Curtain (16, 20.2 shows)
Terrapin (16, 59 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (15, 8.9 shows)
The Man Who Stepped Into Yesterday (14, 34.6 shows)
The Sloth (13, 19.4 shows)
Cracklin' Rosie (12, 48.9 shows)
Weigh (12, 37.3 shows)
Contact (11, 18.9 shows)
Fire (11, 21.8 shows)
Big Black Furry Creature from Mars (10, 22.9 shows)
Ya Mar (10, 9.1 shows)
I Walk the Line (10, 141.7 shows)
Memories (10, 101.2 shows)
The Vibration of Life (8, 64.4 shows)
Bold As Love (8, 26.2 shows)
Bike (8, 54.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 30% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.