@Capt_Tweezerpants said:

Whats the R2 value on this @paulj? I'm guessing about .75

The simple correlation is -0.77, and the adjusted R-square is 0.53. There's only nine observations, which is why I've tried to avoid saying anything about statistical significance.

I think @MOMENTSANDSECONDS has got it right. If Phish come to Dick's as a true tour closer, they are more likely to carry the fire than if they allow a couple of weeks or more to pass.

Now that I think about it, I'm wondering if those early 3.0 tours, with two legs, might provide a good comparison...