Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2026-01-31, Moon Palace were:
Tweezer Reprise (14, 6.3 shows)
Tweezer (12, 6.3 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 4.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (10, 5.2 shows)
Down with Disease (9, 7.1 shows)
Reba (9, 6.3 shows)
Possum (9, 6.3 shows)
Twist (9, 6.3 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (8, 6.3 shows)
Mike's Song (8, 6.3 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 6.3 shows)
46 Days (8, 7.1 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (8, 7.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (8, 6.3 shows)
Simple (7, 11.4 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 8.1 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (7, 8.1 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 8.1 shows)
AC/DC Bag (7, 8.1 shows)
Golden Age (7, 7.1 shows)
Piper (7, 8.1 shows)
Taste (6, 9.5 shows)
Monsters (6, 9.5 shows)
Rift (6, 9.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 9.5 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 9.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 9.5 shows)
More (6, 9.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (6, 9.5 shows)
Wilson (6, 9.5 shows)
Pillow Jets (5, 11.4 shows)
Martian Monster (5, 11.4 shows)
Buried Alive (5, 11.4 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (5, 11.4 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 11.4 shows)
Walls of the Cave (5, 11.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 44% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.