Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2026-01-30, Moon Palace were:
Carini (11, 5.8 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (10, 5.3 shows)
Possum (10, 5.8 shows)
Everything's Right (9, 5.8 shows)
Twist (9, 6.4 shows)
Reba (9, 6.4 shows)
Down with Disease (9, 7.3 shows)
First Tube (9, 5.8 shows)
46 Days (8, 7.3 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 6.4 shows)
Light (8, 6.4 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 6.4 shows)
Blaze On (8, 6.4 shows)
Mike's Song (8, 6.4 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (8, 6.4 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (7, 8.3 shows)
AC/DC Bag (7, 8.3 shows)
Evolve (7, 7.3 shows)
Simple (7, 11.6 shows)
Golden Age (7, 7.3 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 8.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 9.7 shows)
Rift (6, 9.7 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 9.7 shows)
Taste (6, 9.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (6, 9.7 shows)
Tube (6, 8.3 shows)
Wilson (6, 9.7 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 11.6 shows)
Martian Monster (5, 11.6 shows)
Buried Alive (5, 11.6 shows)
Walls of the Cave (5, 11.6 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (5, 11.6 shows)
Most Events Aren't Planned (5, 9.7 shows)
Pillow Jets (5, 11.6 shows)
Maze (5, 11.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 59% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.