Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2025-07-25, Broadview Stage at SPAC were:
Down with Disease (16, 5.8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (14, 5.4 shows)
Sand (13, 5.4 shows)
46 Days (12, 5.8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (12, 5.8 shows)
Everything's Right (12, 5.8 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (11, 6.3 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (11, 6.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (11, 6.3 shows)
First Tube (10, 6.8 shows)
Light (10, 6.8 shows)
Tube (10, 7.5 shows)
Evolve (10, 6.8 shows)
Oblivion (10, 6.8 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (10, 6.8 shows)
Pillow Jets (9, 8.3 shows)
Golden Age (9, 7.5 shows)
Piper (9, 7.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (9, 7.5 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (9, 9.4 shows)
Maze (9, 8.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 8.3 shows)
Hey Stranger (8, 8.3 shows)
Life Saving Gun (8, 8.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 9.4 shows)
Most Events Aren't Planned (7, 10.7 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 9.4 shows)
David Bowie (7, 10.7 shows)
Simple (7, 10.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 9.4 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (7, 10.7 shows)
Bug (7, 10.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 10.7 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (6, 12.5 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (6, 10.7 shows)
Cavern (6, 12.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 41% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.