Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2025-07-15, TD Pavilion at the Mann were:
Sand (13, 5.7 shows)
Fuego (12, 7.3 shows)
Character Zero (12, 6.7 shows)
Possum (12, 6.2 shows)
46 Days (12, 6.7 shows)
Carini (12, 6.2 shows)
Everything's Right (12, 6.2 shows)
Blaze On (12, 6.2 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (12, 6.2 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (11, 8 shows)
Back on the Train (11, 7.3 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (11, 7.3 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (11, 7.3 shows)
Piper (10, 8 shows)
Light (10, 8 shows)
Oblivion (10, 8 shows)
What's Going Through Your Mind (10, 8 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (10, 7.3 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (10, 7.3 shows)
Ruby Waves (10, 8.9 shows)
Evolve (10, 7.3 shows)
Sigma Oasis (10, 8 shows)
Pillow Jets (9, 8.9 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (9, 8.9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (9, 8 shows)
A Wave of Hope (9, 8 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (9, 10 shows)
Tube (9, 8.9 shows)
Maze (9, 8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (8, 10 shows)
More (8, 10 shows)
Life Saving Gun (8, 10 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 8.9 shows)
David Bowie (7, 10 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 10 shows)
Most Events Aren't Planned (7, 11.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 53% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.