Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2025-04-22, Bill Graham Civic Auditorium were:
Down with Disease (11, 7.7 shows)
Tweezer (10, 7.7 shows)
Character Zero (9, 6.9 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (9, 7.7 shows)
Ruby Waves (8, 8.6 shows)
Carini (8, 6.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 7.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 9.9 shows)
First Tube (7, 8.6 shows)
Oblivion (7, 8.6 shows)
Maze (7, 8.6 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (7, 9.9 shows)
Pillow Jets (6, 9.9 shows)
More (6, 9.9 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.9 shows)
Mike's Song (5, 11.5 shows)
Hey Stranger (5, 11.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 11.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 11.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 9.9 shows)
Reba (5, 11.5 shows)
Most Events Aren't Planned (5, 11.5 shows)
Steam (5, 13.8 shows)
Life Saving Gun (5, 11.5 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (5, 13.8 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 13.8 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (4, 17.3 shows)
Rift (4, 13.8 shows)
The Wedge (4, 17.3 shows)
David Bowie (4, 13.8 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (4, 13.8 shows)
Cavern (4, 13.8 shows)
Lonely Trip (4, 13.8 shows)
Simple (4, 13.8 shows)
Taste (4, 13.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 13.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 59% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.