Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2025-01-31, Moon Palace were:
Down with Disease (13, 7.7 shows)
Ruby Waves (11, 8.6 shows)
Tweezer (11, 7.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 7 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 7.7 shows)
Tube (9, 8.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 8.6 shows)
A Wave of Hope (8, 9.6 shows)
Oblivion (8, 8.6 shows)
The Moma Dance (8, 8.6 shows)
Possum (8, 8.6 shows)
Hey Stranger (7, 11 shows)
Fuego (7, 9.6 shows)
Maze (7, 9.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 9.6 shows)
More (7, 9.6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 12.8 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (6, 12.8 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (6, 12.8 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (6, 12.8 shows)
Steam (6, 12.8 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (6, 11 shows)
Fluffhead (5, 15.4 shows)
Simple (5, 15.4 shows)
Monsters (5, 15.4 shows)
Rift (5, 15.4 shows)
Ether Edge (5, 15.4 shows)
Bug (5, 15.4 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 19.3 shows)
Reba (4, 15.4 shows)
David Bowie (4, 19.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 19.3 shows)
Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1 (4, 15.4 shows)
Lonely Trip (4, 15.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 19.3 shows)
The Howling (4, 19.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 59% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.