Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-10-26, MVP Arena were:
Down with Disease (12, 5.2 shows)
Ruby Waves (10, 5.7 shows)
Harry Hood (9, 4.8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 4.8 shows)
Everything's Right (8, 5.2 shows)
Sigma Oasis (8, 5.2 shows)
A Wave of Hope (8, 6.3 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 5.7 shows)
Back on the Train (8, 5.2 shows)
Evolve (8, 5.7 shows)
Golden Age (7, 5.7 shows)
Twist (7, 6.3 shows)
Possum (7, 5.7 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (6, 7.1 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8.1 shows)
Fuego (6, 6.3 shows)
Pillow Jets (6, 8.1 shows)
Hey Stranger (6, 8.1 shows)
Ether Edge (6, 9.5 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 7.1 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (5, 8.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 8.1 shows)
Simple (5, 9.5 shows)
Mike's Song (5, 8.1 shows)
Rift (5, 9.5 shows)
Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1 (4, 11.4 shows)
What's the Use? (4, 9.5 shows)
Mercy (4, 11.4 shows)
Lonely Trip (4, 9.5 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 11.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 11.4 shows)
David Bowie (4, 11.4 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.5 shows)
Reba (4, 9.5 shows)
Taste (4, 9.5 shows)
Cavern (4, 9.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 46% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.