Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-07-23, Mohegan Sun Arena were:
Evolve (8, 6.1 shows)
Everything's Right (8, 5.8 shows)
The Moma Dance (8, 6.1 shows)
Ruby Waves (7, 7.4 shows)
Blaze On (7, 6.1 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.9 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (7, 7.4 shows)
Golden Age (7, 6.9 shows)
Sigma Oasis (7, 6.5 shows)
Carini (7, 6.1 shows)
Tube (7, 7.4 shows)
More (6, 8 shows)
Fuego (6, 6.9 shows)
Piper (6, 7.4 shows)
Mike's Song (6, 9.5 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (6, 6.5 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (6, 11.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (6, 8.7 shows)
The Howling (5, 11.6 shows)
Fluffhead (5, 10.4 shows)
Maze (5, 8 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 9.5 shows)
Ether Edge (5, 11.6 shows)
Taste (5, 10.4 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (5, 10.4 shows)
About to Run (5, 13 shows)
Cavern (5, 10.4 shows)
Simple (5, 10.4 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (5, 10.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 11.6 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (4, 13 shows)
The Well (4, 17.3 shows)
Reba (4, 10.4 shows)
Lonely Trip (4, 11.6 shows)
My Soul (4, 14.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 13 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 42% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.