Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-07-20, Xfinity Center were:
Tweezer (10, 6.2 shows)
Everything's Right (9, 5.6 shows)
Sand (9, 5.3 shows)
A Wave of Hope (8, 7.1 shows)
The Moma Dance (8, 6.2 shows)
Free (8, 6.2 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 5.9 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 6.6 shows)
Carini (7, 6.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 6.2 shows)
Blaze On (7, 6.2 shows)
Ruby Waves (7, 7.6 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 6.2 shows)
Mike's Song (6, 9.6 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (6, 7.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (6, 8.8 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.6 shows)
Possum (6, 6.6 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (5, 10.6 shows)
Fluffhead (5, 10.6 shows)
Llama (5, 11.8 shows)
About to Run (5, 13.3 shows)
The Howling (5, 11.8 shows)
Life Saving Gun (5, 9.6 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 8.2 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 9.6 shows)
What's the Use? (5, 10.6 shows)
Simple (5, 10.6 shows)
Cavern (5, 10.6 shows)
Maze (5, 8.2 shows)
Sample in a Jar (4, 13.3 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 8.8 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 15.1 shows)
My Soul (4, 15.1 shows)
Lonely Trip (4, 11.8 shows)
Ocelot (4, 17.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.