Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-04-20, Sphere were:
Chalk Dust Torture (11, 5 shows)
Ghost (10, 5.3 shows)
Evolve (9, 6.1 shows)
Oblivion (9, 6.4 shows)
46 Days (9, 5.8 shows)
Tube (9, 6.8 shows)
Stash (8, 6.1 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.8 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (8, 6.4 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (8, 6.8 shows)
Down with Disease (8, 6.4 shows)
Character Zero (8, 6.1 shows)
Sigma Oasis (8, 6.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 6.8 shows)
Fuego (7, 6.8 shows)
David Bowie (7, 9.7 shows)
Roggae (6, 11.6 shows)
Taste (6, 9.7 shows)
About to Run (6, 12.9 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (6, 8.3 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (6, 11.6 shows)
Piper (6, 7.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.7 shows)
Wilson (6, 12.9 shows)
Birds of a Feather (5, 14.5 shows)
Llama (5, 12.9 shows)
Light (5, 7.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 9.7 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 12.9 shows)
Reba (5, 10.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 12.9 shows)
The Well (5, 16.6 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (5, 10.5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 11.6 shows)
Mull (5, 16.6 shows)
Cities (4, 12.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 65% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.