Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-09-02, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
The Moma Dance (9, 6.2 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 5.5 shows)
A Wave of Hope (8, 6.8 shows)
46 Days (7, 6.2 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 9.5 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 6.8 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 7.2 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (6, 8.4 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 10.2 shows)
Fuego (6, 7.5 shows)
Steam (6, 11 shows)
Simple (6, 10.2 shows)
Piper (6, 7.9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8.9 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (5, 11 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (5, 15.9 shows)
The Wedge (5, 14.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 10.2 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 13 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (5, 7.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (5, 7.5 shows)
Shade (5, 17.9 shows)
Cavern (4, 11 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (4, 15.9 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (4, 11.9 shows)
Loving Cup (4, 17.9 shows)
Bug (4, 13 shows)
Roggae (4, 13 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.5 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (4, 14.3 shows)
Leaves (4, 20.4 shows)
Plasma (4, 14.3 shows)
The Howling (4, 11.9 shows)
Lonely Trip (4, 11.9 shows)
Reba (4, 11 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 14.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 55% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.