Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-08-31, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Blaze On (10, 6 shows)
Back on the Train (9, 6.3 shows)
Ruby Waves (8, 6.9 shows)
David Bowie (7, 9.7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 6.9 shows)
46 Days (7, 6.3 shows)
Piper (7, 7.6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (7, 8.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (7, 9.7 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (7, 7.3 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 6.6 shows)
Stash (7, 6.3 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 9.7 shows)
Character Zero (7, 6.3 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 10.4 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (6, 10.4 shows)
Carini (6, 6.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 11.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 7.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.5 shows)
The Howling (5, 11.2 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 13.2 shows)
Reba (5, 10.4 shows)
Shade (5, 18.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 10.4 shows)
Light (5, 8.1 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (5, 8.1 shows)
Cavern (4, 11.2 shows)
Bug (4, 13.2 shows)
Lonely Trip (4, 12.1 shows)
Leaves (4, 20.7 shows)
Roggae (4, 13.2 shows)
Wilson (4, 14.5 shows)
Plasma (4, 14.5 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (4, 12.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 44% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.