Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-04-15, Climate Pledge Arena were:
Tweezer (14, 6.9 shows)
Sand (12, 5.4 shows)
Free (11, 6 shows)
The Moma Dance (10, 5.8 shows)
First Tube (10, 6.6 shows)
Character Zero (10, 6.2 shows)
Carini (9, 6.4 shows)
Stash (9, 6.2 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (9, 9 shows)
Twist (9, 6.4 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 6.4 shows)
46 Days (9, 5.8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 5.4 shows)
Harry Hood (8, 5.8 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (8, 9 shows)
Ruby Waves (7, 7.2 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (7, 12.8 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 7.2 shows)
Reba (7, 9.4 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (7, 9.4 shows)
The Howling (7, 9.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.5 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 9 shows)
Shade (6, 14.9 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (6, 8.1 shows)
Wilson (6, 11.9 shows)
Lonely Trip (5, 11.2 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 16.3 shows)
Divided Sky (5, 12.8 shows)
555 (5, 16.3 shows)
NICU (5, 16.3 shows)
Fuego (5, 7.8 shows)
What's the Use? (5, 11.2 shows)
Cavern (5, 10.5 shows)
Leaves (5, 16.3 shows)
More (5, 9.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 44% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.