Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-06-03, Ruoff Music Center were:
Ghost (12, 4.9 shows)
Sigma Oasis (12, 5.3 shows)
Twist (11, 6.1 shows)
Free (11, 5.3 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (11, 5.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 5.9 shows)
Everything's Right (11, 5.3 shows)
Sand (11, 5 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (11, 6.1 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 5.3 shows)
Possum (9, 5.8 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.1 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (7, 15.6 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (7, 12.9 shows)
Soul Planet (7, 18.3 shows)
Down with Disease (7, 6.1 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (7, 10.4 shows)
Reba (7, 8.4 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 10.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 8.1 shows)
Rift (6, 10.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.5 shows)
Stash (6, 6.3 shows)
Shade (6, 12.9 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (6, 6.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 9.5 shows)
More (6, 8.8 shows)
The Final Hurrah (5, 27.4 shows)
If I Could (5, 19.9 shows)
Waste (5, 12.9 shows)
Llama (5, 13.7 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 7.8 shows)
Fluffhead (5, 8.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 11.5 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.