Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-05-29, The Wharf Amphitheater were:
46 Days (11, 5.2 shows)
Everything's Right (11, 5.3 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 5.1 shows)
Carini (11, 5.6 shows)
Tube (10, 5.9 shows)
Tweezer (10, 6.4 shows)
Blaze On (10, 5.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5.9 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (8, 7.3 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (8, 7.3 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 5.8 shows)
Character Zero (8, 5.9 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (7, 10.4 shows)
Down with Disease (7, 6.1 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 6.6 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 5.9 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (7, 8.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.1 shows)
Cavern (6, 9.5 shows)
Rift (6, 10.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.5 shows)
Maze (6, 7.3 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 6.4 shows)
The Lizards (5, 16.8 shows)
555 (5, 13.7 shows)
Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1 (5, 14.6 shows)
Plasma (5, 11 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 12.9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 7.8 shows)
About to Run (5, 11.5 shows)
Steam (5, 10 shows)
Meat (5, 18.3 shows)
The Wedge (5, 11 shows)
Rise/Come Together (4, 36.5 shows)
Mull (4, 14.6 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 18.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.