Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-02-27, Moon Palace were:
46 Days (9, 5.3 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 6.1 shows)
Everything's Right (9, 5.5 shows)
Harry Hood (9, 5.2 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (8, 7.3 shows)
Possum (7, 5.8 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (6, 7.3 shows)
Mike's Song (6, 7.8 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (6, 10.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.5 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.3 shows)
Lonely Trip (6, 9.5 shows)
Character Zero (6, 6.1 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 8.1 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 7.8 shows)
Steam (5, 10 shows)
Rift (5, 11 shows)
Reba (5, 8.4 shows)
Maze (5, 7.3 shows)
What's the Use? (5, 10.4 shows)
More (5, 9.1 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 18.3 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 18.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.1 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 13.7 shows)
555 (4, 13.7 shows)
Mr. Completely (4, 24.3 shows)
The Final Hurrah (4, 27.4 shows)
Stash (4, 6.3 shows)
Rise/Come Together (4, 36.5 shows)
Plasma (4, 11 shows)
Mercury (4, 13.7 shows)
Ruby Waves (4, 7.3 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 11.5 shows)
About to Run (4, 11.5 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 8.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.