Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-02-25, Moon Palace were:
Bathtub Gin (9, 6.1 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (8, 5.2 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (8, 7.3 shows)
Simple (7, 8.1 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (7, 6.1 shows)
Mike's Song (6, 7.8 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.3 shows)
Character Zero (6, 6.1 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.5 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (6, 7.3 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (5, 8.4 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 6.1 shows)
Reba (5, 8.4 shows)
Rift (5, 11 shows)
Maze (5, 7.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 8.1 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (5, 8.1 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (5, 12.9 shows)
Steam (5, 10 shows)
More (5, 9.1 shows)
About to Run (4, 11.5 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (4, 6.8 shows)
The Final Hurrah (4, 27.4 shows)
The Wedge (4, 11 shows)
Rise/Come Together (4, 36.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 13.7 shows)
Ruby Waves (4, 7.3 shows)
Mr. Completely (4, 24.3 shows)
555 (4, 13.7 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 18.3 shows)
Plasma (4, 11 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (4, 6.4 shows)
Stash (4, 6.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 9.5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 11.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 14-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.