Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2021-10-31, MGM Grand Garden Arena were:
Bathtub Gin (9, 6.1 shows)
Carini (8, 5.8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (8, 5.2 shows)
Everything's Right (7, 5.5 shows)
Tube (7, 6.1 shows)
Harry Hood (7, 5.2 shows)
Blaze On (7, 5.3 shows)
Ghost (7, 5 shows)
Simple (7, 8.1 shows)
The Moma Dance (7, 5.5 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (7, 6.1 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 6.1 shows)
Free (6, 5.3 shows)
Twist (6, 6.1 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 6.1 shows)
Rift (5, 11 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (5, 8.4 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (5, 10.4 shows)
More (5, 9.1 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (5, 5.9 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (5, 12.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 8.1 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (5, 7.3 shows)
Steam (5, 10 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (5, 15.6 shows)
Maze (5, 7.6 shows)
Lonely Trip (5, 9.5 shows)
Plasma (4, 11 shows)
Rise/Come Together (4, 36.5 shows)
Stash (4, 6.4 shows)
The Final Hurrah (4, 27.4 shows)
Down with Disease (4, 6.3 shows)
The Wedge (4, 11 shows)
About to Run (4, 11.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 9.5 shows)
Meat (4, 18.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 31% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.