Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2021-10-16, Chase Center were:
Chalk Dust Torture (6, 5.2 shows)
Carini (6, 5.6 shows)
46 Days (5, 5.3 shows)
Twist (5, 6.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 7.3 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (5, 6.1 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (4, 15.6 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 7.8 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (4, 5.8 shows)
Possum (4, 5.8 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 9.5 shows)
Rift (4, 11 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (4, 7.3 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 6.1 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.3 shows)
Meat (3, 18.3 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (3, 13.7 shows)
The Wedge (3, 11 shows)
Tweezer (3, 6.6 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (3, 6.8 shows)
Rise/Come Together (3, 36.5 shows)
Cavern (3, 9.5 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (3, 6.8 shows)
Down with Disease (3, 6.3 shows)
Party Time (3, 27.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (3, 7.6 shows)
Maze (3, 7.3 shows)
Light (3, 8.1 shows)
About to Run (3, 11.5 shows)
Stash (3, 6.3 shows)
Steam (3, 10 shows)
Prince Caspian (3, 8.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (3, 11.5 shows)
Waste (3, 12.9 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (3, 9.1 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (3, 7.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 40% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.