Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2021-08-11, Hersheypark Stadium were:
I Never Needed You Like This Before (2, 15.6 shows)
Tube (2, 5.9 shows)
Free (2, 5.3 shows)
Limb By Limb (2, 21.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (2, 5.8 shows)
Simple (2, 7.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (2, 11.5 shows)
Rift (2, 10.4 shows)
Sand (2, 5 shows)
Harry Hood (2, 5.1 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (2, 6.1 shows)
Blaze On (2, 5.2 shows)
Carini (2, 5.6 shows)
Walls of the Cave (2, 14.6 shows)
The Wedge (2, 11 shows)
Driver (1, 54.8 shows)
Funky Bitch (1, 14.6 shows)
Evening Song (1, 73 shows)
The Final Hurrah (1, 27.4 shows)
Martian Monster (1, 16.8 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (1, 11.5 shows)
Dirt (1, 31.3 shows)
Rise/Come Together (1, 36.5 shows)
Yarmouth Road (1, 73 shows)
If I Could (1, 19.9 shows)
Turtle in the Clouds (1, 27.4 shows)
Maze (1, 7.3 shows)
Destiny Unbound (1, 31.3 shows)
Foam (1, 24.3 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (1, 5.2 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (1, 12.9 shows)
Plasma (1, 11 shows)
Shade (1, 12.9 shows)
Silent in the Morning (1, 73 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (1, 7.3 shows)
Buried Alive (1, 18.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 22% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.