Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2020-02-23, Moon Palace were:
Everything's Right (9, 5.2 shows)
Ruby Waves (9, 7.1 shows)
Mercury (8, 10.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 5.9 shows)
Character Zero (8, 5.8 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 5.8 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (7, 5.8 shows)
More (7, 8.2 shows)
The Wedge (7, 9.7 shows)
Down with Disease (7, 6.1 shows)
Light (7, 7.9 shows)
About to Run (7, 10 shows)
Rift (7, 9.3 shows)
The Final Hurrah (7, 17.4 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 11.9 shows)
Undermind (6, 13.1 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.4 shows)
Death Don't Hurt Very Long (6, 26.1 shows)
Mike's Song (6, 7.7 shows)
Fuego (6, 7.7 shows)
Wilson (6, 10.4 shows)
What's the Use? (6, 9.7 shows)
We Are Come to Outlive Our Brains (5, 37.3 shows)
Gumbo (5, 13.1 shows)
Funky Bitch (5, 12.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9.3 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 11.9 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.7 shows)
Maze (5, 7.7 shows)
Rise/Come Together (5, 21.8 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 9.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 8.4 shows)
NICU (5, 13.7 shows)
Twenty Years Later (5, 20.1 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 10.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 18.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 38% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.