Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-07-05, Fenway Park were:
Blaze On (15, 4.8 shows)
Everything's Right (15, 4.9 shows)
46 Days (14, 4.9 shows)
Ghost (14, 4.7 shows)
Sand (13, 4.8 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (13, 6.7 shows)
Character Zero (13, 5.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (12, 6.7 shows)
Free (12, 5.1 shows)
Fuego (12, 6.7 shows)
Tube (12, 5.6 shows)
Mercury (11, 9.5 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (11, 5.9 shows)
Possum (11, 5.7 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 7.4 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 10.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (10, 5.7 shows)
Light (10, 7.4 shows)
Simple (9, 7.6 shows)
Soul Planet (8, 12.6 shows)
Cavern (7, 8.9 shows)
555 (7, 11.7 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (7, 11.7 shows)
Golden Age (7, 7.8 shows)
Roggae (7, 12.1 shows)
Piper (7, 6.9 shows)
Farmhouse (7, 14.4 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 7.6 shows)
Waste (7, 10.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.8 shows)
Back on the Train (6, 6.2 shows)
Ocelot (6, 14.4 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 11.2 shows)
Limb By Limb (6, 16.8 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8 shows)
Prince Caspian (6, 8.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 53% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.