Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-06-30, BB&T Pavilion were:
Twist (16, 5.6 shows)
Tweezer (14, 5.9 shows)
Character Zero (13, 5.5 shows)
Free (12, 5.1 shows)
Carini (12, 5.4 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (12, 5.6 shows)
Harry Hood (12, 5.1 shows)
Tube (12, 5.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (12, 5.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (12, 5.9 shows)
Possum (11, 5.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (11, 5.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (10, 5.3 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 10.4 shows)
More (10, 7.4 shows)
Down with Disease (10, 5.9 shows)
Steam (10, 8 shows)
The Wedge (9, 8.9 shows)
Martian Monster (9, 11.7 shows)
Simple (9, 7.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 7.4 shows)
Soul Planet (8, 12.6 shows)
What's the Use? (8, 8.9 shows)
Wilson (8, 9.5 shows)
555 (7, 11.7 shows)
Piper (7, 6.9 shows)
Cavern (7, 8.9 shows)
Walls of the Cave (7, 12.1 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.6 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (7, 11.7 shows)
Waste (7, 10.8 shows)
Ocelot (6, 14.4 shows)
Julius (6, 15.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.7 shows)
Miss You (6, 21.6 shows)
Limb By Limb (6, 16.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 13% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.