Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-06-28, BB&T Pavilion were:
No Men In No Man's Land (16, 5.5 shows)
Tweezer (14, 5.9 shows)
Character Zero (13, 5.5 shows)
Ghost (13, 4.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (12, 5.9 shows)
Harry Hood (12, 5.1 shows)
Tube (12, 5.6 shows)
Free (12, 5.1 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (12, 6.7 shows)
Possum (11, 5.7 shows)
The Moma Dance (10, 5.3 shows)
Steam (10, 8 shows)
More (10, 7.4 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 10.4 shows)
Mercury (10, 9.5 shows)
Martian Monster (9, 11.7 shows)
Light (9, 7.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 5.7 shows)
Soul Planet (8, 12.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 7.4 shows)
What's the Use? (8, 8.9 shows)
Cavern (7, 8.9 shows)
555 (7, 11.7 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.6 shows)
Walls of the Cave (7, 12.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.7 shows)
Ocelot (6, 14.4 shows)
Roggae (6, 12.1 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.8 shows)
Birds of a Feather (5, 11.2 shows)
Undermind (5, 12.6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 8 shows)
Joy (5, 18.9 shows)
Stash (5, 7.2 shows)
I Always Wanted It This Way (5, 16.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 30% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.