Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-02-23, Barceló Maya Beach were:
Blaze On (10, 4.8 shows)
Ghost (9, 4.6 shows)
Tweezer (9, 5.8 shows)
Carini (9, 5.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (9, 5.8 shows)
Fuego (9, 6.7 shows)
Light (8, 7.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 5.6 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (7, 6.6 shows)
Martian Monster (7, 11.7 shows)
The Wedge (7, 8.9 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 7.4 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (6, 11.7 shows)
Wilson (6, 9.5 shows)
Walls of the Cave (6, 11.7 shows)
Mike's Song (6, 7.2 shows)
Cavern (6, 8.9 shows)
Ocelot (5, 14.4 shows)
Roggae (5, 12.1 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 7.6 shows)
Sparkle (5, 20.2 shows)
Julius (5, 15.2 shows)
Maze (5, 7.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 9.8 shows)
Piper (5, 6.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 8.7 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.6 shows)
Joy (4, 17.8 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 6.2 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.7 shows)
Cities (4, 15.2 shows)
Bug (4, 10.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 9.5 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 17.8 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 11.2 shows)
Miss You (4, 21.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 41% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.