Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-11-03, MGM Grand Garden Arena were:
Character Zero (9, 5.4 shows)
46 Days (8, 4.8 shows)
Carini (8, 5.3 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 5.3 shows)
Tube (7, 5.6 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 8.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 5.9 shows)
The Wedge (7, 8.8 shows)
Possum (7, 5.6 shows)
The Moma Dance (7, 5.2 shows)
Steam (7, 7.7 shows)
Wilson (6, 9 shows)
Simple (6, 7.3 shows)
Julius (6, 14 shows)
Roggae (5, 11.4 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.7 shows)
555 (5, 11 shows)
Piper (5, 7 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (5, 11.8 shows)
Mike's Song (5, 7.1 shows)
Maze (5, 7.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 6.5 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 13.3 shows)
Sparkle (4, 20.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 11.4 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 8.8 shows)
Reba (4, 8.8 shows)
Miss You (4, 21.9 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (4, 11.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 8.3 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 25.6 shows)
I Always Wanted It This Way (4, 16.2 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 9.9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (4, 7.7 shows)
Lawn Boy (3, 21.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 74% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.