Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-07-28, The Forum were:
Light (4, 6.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (4, 5.5 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (4, 5.3 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (4, 6.7 shows)
Walls of the Cave (3, 10.7 shows)
Fuego (3, 6.6 shows)
Martian Monster (3, 10.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (3, 8.2 shows)
Reba (3, 8.2 shows)
Rise/Come Together (3, 17.8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (3, 5.3 shows)
Free (3, 5 shows)
Limb By Limb (3, 15.3 shows)
Steam (3, 7.6 shows)
Piper (3, 6.7 shows)
Poor Heart (3, 32.1 shows)
Back on the Train (3, 6.1 shows)
Cavern (3, 8.4 shows)
Fluffhead (3, 8.4 shows)
First Tube (3, 5.9 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (3, 7 shows)
Character Zero (3, 5.4 shows)
Wilson (3, 8.7 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (3, 11.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (3, 9.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (3, 5.6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (3, 7.5 shows)
555 (3, 10.7 shows)
Sugar Shack (2, 40.1 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (2, 11.1 shows)
Bug (2, 10.7 shows)
The Birds (2, 160.5 shows)
The Curtain With (2, 35.7 shows)
Meatstick (2, 16.9 shows)
Most Events Aren't Planned (2, 15.3 shows)
Crazy Sometimes (2, 40.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.