Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2017-07-28, Madison Square Garden were:
Down with Disease (10, 5.4 shows)
Blaze On (9, 4.6 shows)
Ghost (9, 4.4 shows)
Harry Hood (9, 4.6 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 5.2 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (8, 4.6 shows)
46 Days (8, 4.7 shows)
Piper (7, 6.6 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.4 shows)
555 (7, 9.6 shows)
Breath and Burning (7, 29.8 shows)
Simple (7, 6.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 5.6 shows)
Tweezer (7, 5.7 shows)
Martian Monster (7, 9.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (7, 5.2 shows)
Light (7, 6.5 shows)
Possum (7, 5.3 shows)
Roggae (6, 10.2 shows)
Petrichor (6, 25.5 shows)
Maze (6, 7.4 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 5.6 shows)
Funky Bitch (6, 9.4 shows)
What's the Use? (6, 7.9 shows)
Wingsuit (6, 18.8 shows)
Free (6, 5 shows)
Ass Handed (6, 22.3 shows)
Sand (6, 4.7 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 6.6 shows)
Mercury (6, 8.7 shows)
Walls of the Cave (5, 10.2 shows)
Birds of a Feather (5, 10.2 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 18.8 shows)
Cities (5, 13.2 shows)
Twenty Years Later (5, 15.5 shows)
The Wedge (5, 8.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 26% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.