Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2017-07-25, Madison Square Garden were:
Blaze On (9, 4.6 shows)
Fuego (9, 6.1 shows)
Ghost (9, 4.4 shows)
Harry Hood (9, 4.6 shows)
46 Days (8, 4.7 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 5.2 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (8, 4.6 shows)
Tube (7, 5.4 shows)
Simple (7, 6.9 shows)
Character Zero (7, 5.3 shows)
Piper (7, 6.6 shows)
Possum (7, 5.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 5.6 shows)
Carini (7, 5.1 shows)
Light (7, 6.5 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 6.6 shows)
Free (6, 5 shows)
Wingsuit (6, 18.8 shows)
Maze (6, 7.4 shows)
Petrichor (6, 25.5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (6, 5.3 shows)
Mercury (6, 8.7 shows)
What's the Use? (6, 7.9 shows)
Ass Handed (6, 22.3 shows)
Stash (6, 6.9 shows)
Sand (6, 4.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 5.6 shows)
Twenty Years Later (5, 15.5 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 18.8 shows)
The Wedge (5, 8.3 shows)
Loving Cup (4, 12.8 shows)
Undermind (4, 11.9 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 6.7 shows)
Bug (4, 10.5 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (4, 7.3 shows)
Wilson (4, 8.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 23% of the actual 13-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.