Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2017-01-15, Barceló Maya Beach were:
46 Days (12, 4.7 shows)
Harry Hood (12, 4.6 shows)
Ghost (12, 4.4 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 5 shows)
Down with Disease (11, 5.3 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5.2 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 6.4 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (10, 6 shows)
Martian Monster (10, 9.2 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 5.6 shows)
Stash (9, 6.8 shows)
Wingsuit (8, 17.2 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (8, 7 shows)
Possum (8, 5.4 shows)
Simple (8, 6.9 shows)
Tweezer (8, 5.7 shows)
Sample in a Jar (7, 11.5 shows)
Heavy Things (7, 18.9 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 8 shows)
Maze (7, 7.6 shows)
Rock and Roll (6, 18 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.2 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.6 shows)
Julius (6, 12.2 shows)
Twenty Years Later (6, 15.1 shows)
Roggae (6, 9.9 shows)
Cities (6, 12.6 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 9.9 shows)
Cavern (6, 8.2 shows)
Things People Do (5, 42 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9.5 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 14 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (5, 25.2 shows)
Miss You (5, 18.9 shows)
Saw It Again (5, 15.8 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 8.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 42% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.