Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-01-17, Barceló Maya Beach were:
Blaze On (10, 4.4 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (10, 4.9 shows)
Twist (9, 5.1 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (8, 6.6 shows)
Waiting All Night (8, 22.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (8, 6 shows)
Down with Disease (8, 5.3 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 6.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 6.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.3 shows)
The Moma Dance (7, 5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 5.1 shows)
Roggae (6, 9.4 shows)
Tube (6, 5.4 shows)
Walls of the Cave (6, 9.2 shows)
Stash (6, 6.6 shows)
Undermind (6, 10.9 shows)
The Line (6, 21.3 shows)
Farmhouse (6, 11.6 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 10.9 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 9 shows)
Piper (5, 6.6 shows)
Birds of a Feather (5, 9.6 shows)
Carini (5, 5.2 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.4 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (4, 16.2 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (4, 8.3 shows)
Yarmouth Road (4, 27 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 6.3 shows)
Dirt (4, 22.5 shows)
Cavern (4, 8.3 shows)
How Many People Are You (4, 40.5 shows)
Steam (4, 8.1 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 14.5 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (4, 45 shows)
Wingsuit (4, 15.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 55% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.