Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2015-01-03, American Airlines Arena were:
Character Zero (12, 5 shows)
Harry Hood (12, 4.6 shows)
Down with Disease (11, 5.1 shows)
Light (10, 6.1 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (10, 24.9 shows)
Rift (9, 8.6 shows)
Sparkle (9, 16 shows)
Sand (9, 4.9 shows)
Cavern (9, 7.7 shows)
Carini (9, 5.3 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (8, 13.2 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (7, 9 shows)
Wombat (7, 22.4 shows)
Reba (7, 8.6 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.8 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 10.7 shows)
Maze (6, 7.3 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9 shows)
Sing Monica (5, 74.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 9.1 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 8.1 shows)
Golden Age (5, 8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 10.7 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.7 shows)
Scent of a Mule (4, 26.4 shows)
Funky Bitch (4, 10.7 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 10.2 shows)
Waves (4, 17.2 shows)
It's Ice (4, 17.9 shows)
Strange Design (3, 44.8 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (3, 12.1 shows)
Grind (3, 29.9 shows)
I Didn't Know (3, 24.9 shows)
Steam (3, 8.6 shows)
Fluffhead (3, 10.7 shows)
Taste (3, 17.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 78% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.