Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-10-22, Santa Barbara Bowl were:
Weekapaug Groove (11, 5.8 shows)
Mike's Song (11, 6.1 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (11, 6.1 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (11, 23 shows)
David Bowie (10, 8.4 shows)
The Wedge (9, 7.1 shows)
Tube (9, 5.3 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (9, 5.3 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (7, 11.8 shows)
Winterqueen (7, 18.4 shows)
Waves (6, 15.9 shows)
Sing Monica (6, 57.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.8 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 8.8 shows)
Fluffhead (5, 10.5 shows)
Funky Bitch (5, 10.5 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 8.7 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 18.4 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (5, 6.1 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 8.1 shows)
Gumbo (5, 13.5 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 12.1 shows)
Undermind (5, 10.7 shows)
Divided Sky (5, 10 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 9.4 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (4, 12.8 shows)
Sneakin' Sally Through the Alley (4, 21.9 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 11 shows)
Grind (4, 27.1 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 10.7 shows)
It's Ice (4, 17.7 shows)
Alaska (3, 38.3 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (3, 18.4 shows)
Camel Walk (3, 25.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 58% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.