Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-09-01, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Possum (9, 5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (7, 5.6 shows)
Maze (7, 7.1 shows)
Piper (7, 6.1 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 5.9 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 7.1 shows)
David Bowie (7, 8 shows)
Wilson (6, 9.1 shows)
Julius (6, 9.1 shows)
Rift (6, 7.8 shows)
Funky Bitch (6, 9.5 shows)
Tube (6, 5.3 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (6, 8.2 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 9.3 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 5.9 shows)
Cities (5, 12.4 shows)
Army of One (5, 27.4 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (5, 20.6 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (5, 15.9 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 14.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (4, 8 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 12.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.4 shows)
Energy (4, 49.4 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 10.3 shows)
Bug (4, 10.7 shows)
It's Ice (4, 15.9 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 10.3 shows)
Twenty Years Later (4, 14.5 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 9.5 shows)
Architect (4, 123.5 shows)
Nellie Kane (4, 24.7 shows)
Carini (4, 5.3 shows)
Waves (3, 15.4 shows)
The Squirming Coil (3, 13.4 shows)
First Tube (3, 7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 56% of the actual 25-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.