Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-08-02, Bill Graham Civic Auditorium were:
Backwards Down the Number Line (12, 5.8 shows)
Harry Hood (12, 4.3 shows)
Possum (11, 5 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (9, 7.9 shows)
David Bowie (8, 7.8 shows)
Wilson (8, 8.7 shows)
Free (7, 4.8 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 14.5 shows)
Rock and Roll (7, 13.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 9.7 shows)
AC/DC Bag (7, 9.5 shows)
Sample in a Jar (7, 9 shows)
Sand (7, 4.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 8.3 shows)
Mound (6, 24.1 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 7.8 shows)
Loving Cup (6, 11.8 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.8 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.6 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 9.5 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 12 shows)
Nellie Kane (5, 24.1 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 11.8 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 11 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 14.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.4 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 9.5 shows)
Twenty Years Later (4, 14.9 shows)
Meatstick (4, 13 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 9 shows)
Bug (4, 10.8 shows)
The Horse (4, 22 shows)
Alaska (4, 31.6 shows)
Axilla (4, 16.9 shows)
Reba (4, 8.6 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 36% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.