Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-07-10, PNC Bank Arts Center were:
Harry Hood (7, 4.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (6, 5.5 shows)
Mike's Song (6, 5.8 shows)
Ocelot (6, 8.4 shows)
Rift (6, 7.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.7 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 13.7 shows)
Twist (5, 4.8 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (5, 4.8 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.3 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 7.9 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 14.5 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (5, 5.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 8.3 shows)
Stash (4, 6.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (4, 6.6 shows)
Cavern (4, 6.9 shows)
The Horse (4, 22 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 9.9 shows)
Ride Captain Ride (3, 126.5 shows)
Ya Mar (3, 14.9 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (3, 19.5 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (3, 12 shows)
First Tube (3, 6.9 shows)
Alaska (3, 31.6 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (3, 11 shows)
Axilla (3, 16.9 shows)
Reba (3, 8.6 shows)
Walk Away (3, 33.7 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (2, 42.2 shows)
Joy (2, 15.8 shows)
If I Could (2, 29.8 shows)
I Didn't Know (2, 23 shows)
When the Circus Comes (2, 23 shows)
Sugar Shack (2, 22 shows)
Lawn Boy (2, 11.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 57% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.