Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-09-01, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Bathtub Gin (11, 4.9 shows)
Mike's Song (11, 5.6 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (11, 5.3 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 8.5 shows)
Tweezer (10, 5.2 shows)
Cavern (10, 6.6 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 5.1 shows)
Tube (10, 5.2 shows)
Golden Age (9, 7 shows)
Maze (9, 6.7 shows)
Back on the Train (9, 5.7 shows)
Roses Are Free (8, 20.5 shows)
Free (8, 4.8 shows)
David Bowie (8, 7.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (8, 8 shows)
Ghost (8, 4.4 shows)
Piper (8, 5.9 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.6 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (7, 13.7 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 9.5 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.7 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 13.7 shows)
AC/DC Bag (6, 9.2 shows)
Gumbo (6, 12.4 shows)
The Horse (6, 19.7 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 13 shows)
Cities (6, 11.6 shows)
Stash (6, 6.4 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (6, 44.4 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (6, 17.8 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (6, 11.8 shows)
Joy (5, 15.2 shows)
NICU (5, 12.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (5, 6.6 shows)
Show of Life (5, 28.1 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (5, 12.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 57% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.