Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-06-24, Blossom Music Center were:
Cavern (11, 6.3 shows)
Character Zero (9, 4.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (8, 5.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 4.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 5.5 shows)
Sample in a Jar (8, 8.1 shows)
Axilla (8, 13.3 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (8, 7.3 shows)
Rift (7, 7.1 shows)
Roses Are Free (7, 18.8 shows)
Piper (7, 5.8 shows)
Ghost (7, 4.3 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (7, 10.1 shows)
Golden Age (7, 6.7 shows)
Ocelot (7, 7.8 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 5.7 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.7 shows)
Show of Life (6, 23.7 shows)
Tube (6, 5.2 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (5, 13 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 10.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 8 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (5, 6.6 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 12.7 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 11.1 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (5, 28.7 shows)
Party Time (4, 18.2 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (4, 15.2 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 10.9 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 11.4 shows)
The Horse (4, 18.2 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 12.4 shows)
Bug (4, 10.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.3 shows)
Reba (4, 8.3 shows)
NICU (4, 12.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 64% of the actual 25-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.